U.S. Representative Barry Moore (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 97%) won the Republican nomination for Alabama’s U.S. Senate seat on June 16, 2026, defeating Jared Hudson in the runoff election. Moore will advance to the November 2026 general election. With President Trump carrying it 65% to 34% in 2024, making this a safe Republican seat.

Republican Opportunity: U.S. Representative Mike Collins (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 100%) won the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Georgia, defeating Derek Dooley and advancing to the general election against incumbent Senator Jon Ossoff (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 2%). Collins will compete in one of the most closely watched Senate races in the country. In 2024, President Trump carried Georgia 50.7% to 48.5%, underscoring the state’s competitive political landscape heading into November…

This is an OPEN race because the incumbent, Steve Daines (CFGF Lifetime Rating 85%), is retiring. President Trump won Montana in 2024 over Harris 58.39% to 38.46%. This could be a competitive race for the General Election, which is on November 3, 2026.

Incumbent protection: Senator Pete Ricketts (CFGF Lifetime Rating 87%) is running for re-election in 2026. Cook Political Report labels this race as “Solid Republican.”

Republican Hold: U.S. Representative Kevin Hern (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 92%) won Oklahoma’s Republican nomination for U.S. Senate, earning more than 50% of the vote and avoiding a runoff election. Hern is seeking to succeed Senator Markwayne Mullin (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 77%), who now serves as Secretary of Homeland Security. Oklahoma remains one of the most Republican states in the nation, with President Trump carrying the state 66% to 32% in…

Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton won the Republican primary runoff on May 26, 2026 for U.S. Senate with 63.8% of the vote, defeating incumbent Sen. John Cornyn. Paxton will advance to the November 3, 2026 general election in what is expected to remain a lean Republican race. In 2024, President Trump defeated Kamala Harris in Texas 56.14% to 42.46%.

Incumbent Senator Cynthia Lummis (CFGF Lifetime Rating 85%) announced she would not seek re-election. Harriet Hageman (CFGF Lifetime Rating 97%) ran to succeed her and won the Republican primary on August 18, 2026, securing the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. She will face Democrat James Byrd in the general election. Wyoming remains a solidly Republican state; in 2024, President Trump defeated Kamala Harris 72.3% to 26.1%.

Incumbent Protection: Nick Begich advanced to the General Election after finishing in first place out of four candidates in Alaska’s August 18, 2026 primary. Alaska utilizes a top-four primary system, with the four highest-performing candidates advancing to the ranked-choice General Election. Begich won one of the closest congressional races of 2024 and remains a top target of House Democrats’ SuperPAC. In 2024, President Trump defeated Kamala Harris in Alaska 55.54%…

Incumbent protection: U.S. Rep. Eli Crane (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 100%) secured the Republican nomination in Arizona’s 2nd Congressional District on July 21, 2026, running unopposed in the primary. Crane will now advance to the general election, where he is expected to face a well-funded challenge in one of House Democrats’ top target districts. Arizona’s 2nd District has a PVI of R+6, and Crane won re-election in 2024 over Jonathan Nez…

Former Pinal County Sheriff Mark Lamb secured the Republican nomination in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District on July 21, 2026, and will compete in the November general election. The seat is open after U.S. Rep. Andy Biggs (CFGF Lifetime Rating: 99%) launched a successful campaign for governor instead of seeking re-election. President Donald Trump endorsed Lamb during the primary. Arizona’s 5th District is rated R+10, and President Trump carried the district…

Representative Tom McClintock (CFGF Lifetime Rating 95%) is running for re-election. The primary election is on June 2, 2026. California uses a “jungle” primary election system where the top two finishers, irrespective of party, advance to the General Election on November 3, 2026. Although this was a R+9 district, following passage of Proposition 50 in November 2025, the district lines in Northern California moved in a more Democratic direction. Official…

Incumbent Protection: Representative Anna Paulina Luna (CFGF Lifetime Rating 97%) ran in the primary uncontested and will face Democrat Leela Gray in the General Election. In 2024, Luna defeated Whitney Fox, who was considered a top-tier Democratic recruit, 54.8% to 45.2%. Luna remains a top target of House Democrats’ SuperPAC. With a PVI of R+6, Cook Political Report rates the race as “Likely Republican.”